In performance against strength of schedule (PASS, an objective rating formula) it was #7 Texas, or perhaps #5 Washington who should draw the ire here instead of #2 Alabama. Those were the ranks at the end of the regular season, where FSU sat #4.
That a decision could be made upon intangibles like an injury to one player is at odds with other criteria like being a conference champion. The NCAA is perhaps the world's oddest (and most broken) sporting entity.
Love the article. I think that the first graph would be more intuitive with the axis swapped, so that tasks want to be above the line of unity target than below it. What is odds adjusted win total?
You're right it should have been the other way around, although either way FSU is sticking out for a bad reason. The win totals are adjusted up or down depending on the over/under odds (so if a team has a 9.5 win total but the under is heavily favored it will drop the adjusted total under 9.5)
In performance against strength of schedule (PASS, an objective rating formula) it was #7 Texas, or perhaps #5 Washington who should draw the ire here instead of #2 Alabama. Those were the ranks at the end of the regular season, where FSU sat #4.
That a decision could be made upon intangibles like an injury to one player is at odds with other criteria like being a conference champion. The NCAA is perhaps the world's oddest (and most broken) sporting entity.
Love the article. I think that the first graph would be more intuitive with the axis swapped, so that tasks want to be above the line of unity target than below it. What is odds adjusted win total?
You're right it should have been the other way around, although either way FSU is sticking out for a bad reason. The win totals are adjusted up or down depending on the over/under odds (so if a team has a 9.5 win total but the under is heavily favored it will drop the adjusted total under 9.5)
Great article. Please write more about the collapse of FSU football.
-Florida Gator Alum