I'm rather confused by the post game win expectancy for A&M and South Carolina. If it's based off of advanced stats and A&M "won" all but one of the advanced stats listed there, why is the PGWE so heavily in favor of South Carolina? Bill Connelly's for example was 40.1% for South Carolina for this game, less than half of what you list here. I don't know if he has access to more or better data than what is publicly available through cfbfastR and CFB_Data, but even without glancing at his numbers I was having some alarm bells go off here.
I'm rather confused by the post game win expectancy for A&M and South Carolina. If it's based off of advanced stats and A&M "won" all but one of the advanced stats listed there, why is the PGWE so heavily in favor of South Carolina? Bill Connelly's for example was 40.1% for South Carolina for this game, less than half of what you list here. I don't know if he has access to more or better data than what is publicly available through cfbfastR and CFB_Data, but even without glancing at his numbers I was having some alarm bells go off here.